Happy Super Bowl week/ let’s stir up some controversy week! Here was a scenario that was brought up by 106.7 the Fan that really grinds my gears. These radio DJs actually spent a whole afternoon debating if you were in Scot McCloughans shoes whether or not do this trade: Kirk Cousins for San Francisco’s 1st Round Pick this year (#2 Overall) and their 1st Round Pick in 2018. This trade proposal is a reaction to Kyle Shanahan being name the head coach of the 49ers last week. Since people hotly debated this all day I figured I would weigh in on why this is a terrible idea.
Continuity: Here’s a fun stat that compares what Cousins did in his 1st two years of starting vs Aaron Rodgers:
Not trying to say Cousins is Aaron Rodgers but hey stats don’t lie. Our offense was #3 in the league in 2016. #1 and #2 are playing in the Super Bowl on Sunday. Continuity at the QB position is the most important part of keeping a top 3 offense next year. Who would start next year if you trade away Kirk? Colt McCoy? Nate Sudfeld? One of the mediocre rookies coming out in the draft this year or a free agent like Ryan Fitzpatrick? All of those choices are a step back and with Gruden in his last year of his contract, even the slightest step back could cost him his job. Then what? (See Rebuild Mode)
Busts: Shocker, but not all 1st round draft picks pan out. Just ask the Rams who have gotten nothing but worse after we traded them our future for RG3 (1st round swap in 2012 and 2 more 1st rounders!). For example, lets focus on this years consensus #2 overall player on most all of mock drafts right now, Alabama DT Jonathan Allen (Stone Bridge High School-VA product weirdly enough). He sure seems like the real deal right now but that whole Alabama defense was loaded with talent. Not to mention he was a non-factor in the National Championship, especially on that final, game-losing drive. He could easily be a product of stacked defense with a lackluster schedule. It’s exciting to consider the thought of getting Allen at #2 and DE Soloman Thomas or ILB Reuben Foster at #17 but they will need time to develop. Even so, these two pieces are not going to be enough to fix this crappy defense no matter how dominant they are.
Best Case Scenario: Let’s say Allen is a stud impact player and whoever we get at #17 turns is a stud as well. Let’s say Cousins falls apart in San Fran and we end up getting the 1st overall pick next in 2018. Whoopie! You did it! You predicted Cousins was a two-year fluke! You are able to fill some defensive holes in free agency with all the money you saved on Cousins. Your defense does a full 180 and your defensive coordinator, who has been fired 3 times from his prior DC jobs, is now being considered as head coach material. Now, you are relying on 30 year old Colt McCoy to pick up the slack and keep this offense top flight with no run game and potentially fewer weapons at WR. Also, consider the fact that McCoy is a FA in 2019. So after two years of McCoy, you’re back to the same dilemma you have now. You would either need to sign McCoy to starting QB money or you would need to spend a high round pick on a QB in 2018, most likely one of picks you traded Cousins. Otherwise, it’s back to picking up free agent QBs. Welcome back to the QB carousel redskins fans. Consider this: over the last 15 years, only two free agent QBs won a Super Bowl and one is a first ballot Hall of Famer.
Worst Case Scenario: McCoy plays like he did on the Browns. Your running game continues to get worse now that you don’t have a decent passer. Your defense, even though it’s full of high round picks, struggles under a new defensive coordinator and isn’t good enough to stop the offenses within the division. The division becomes a 3 way tie with Wentz leading the Eagles resurgence, Prescott getting better in the pocket, and the Giants defense becoming a top 5 unit. Cousins lights it up with the 49ers and you’re 2018 1st round pick is in the high 20s. Back to rebuilding from the ground up. Only good news here is the you have a top 5 pick to spend on a new QB and plenty of space to overpay free agents.
Bottom Line: Even the staunchest Cousins detractor knows McCoy is not the future. Most detractors think that the QB of the future is not on this roster and to get more picks now would help build a team that will be able to cultivate a superstar QB down the road. I’ll admit, the thought of building a young, hungry defense with the picks is very tempting. However, lets be real. If one (or both) of those picks don’t pan out, you just gave away you franchise holding passer up for close to nothing. You’re then stuck starting Colt McCoy or someone else’s trash at the most important position on the field for the next two years. Gruden is gone, the the offense is revamped, and the young defense gets a brand new system it has to learn. Also, it’s hard to imagine the 49ers tanking as hard as they did last year with Cousins under center. Cousins is very familiar with Shanahans offense and with a running back like Carlos Hyde helping to punch it in goal-to-go situations and a healthy defense, it’s unlikely the 49ers season goes the way it did this year.
Bottom Line #2: I wouldn’t trade Cousins for the 49ers next 5 years of 1st round picks. We haven’t had a QB like this EVER. Jump on the Cousins bandwagon. It feels good.







































